Refugees and Rwanda continue to fill the headlines
December 2023
As the House of Commons debates the Government’s latest attempt to make their Rwanda project fly, this month’s emphasis has been very much on the small boats. On the progress of the Bill over the next few weeks, anything might happen. The government managed to get the second reading of their bill passed on 12th to clear the way for the plan to remove some people to Rwanda.
As a topline figure, the number of arrivals by small boat this year has reached 29,000; this is about a third down on last year. It has been argued, however, that it’s the number of boats that is down, not people – they are using bigger boats. We have no confirmation of this.
The Government has changed the rules for asylum seekers/refugees following their processing; they now have 28 days to leave the temporary hostels they have been confined in and to find their own accommodation. As a result the level of homelessness among this community has increased dramatically. The Evening Standard claims that the numbers of homeless in the migrant community has increased 39% in a month (presumably this is a London figure).
The big increase in the number of claimant withdrawals has been exercising the legal profession. These are migrants who have claimed refugee or asylum seeker status, but have not turned up for interview. As a result, 17,000 claimants who have apparently withdrawn their claim are now unaccounted for, though presumably they are still in the UK (the Home Office has no knowledge of their whereabouts). On a similar topic, of the 154 unaccompanied child asylum seekers who went missing earlier this year, 132 are still missing.
While the number of legacy cases is being reduced, new claims are still keeping the total high. The Government’s aim of clearing the pre-June 2022 backlog has not yet been achieved (it’s believed to be still about 10,000, and these are among the most complicated cases). Meanwhile, new applications have amounted to 90,000, leaving the total figure at around 109,000 (less than the peak). It should be noted that Home Office staff turnover is very high and it may well be that the 17,000 alluded to above include names taken off the backlog to reduce the figures. Also the Home Affairs Committee this week elicited the information that approval levels went down to 38% in Q2 and back up to 67% in Q3 – the reason is unclear.
Small boats population accounts for around 6.6% of the total
It is worth pointing out, as part of the argument, that the small boats population amounts to about 6.6% of the net immigration numbers for the year (the 700,000 excess of arrivals v departures) figure) and half that for the gross total (incomers only)
Another problem area has been the gap between a claimant being granted leave and receiving a Biometric Residence Permit – the Home Office claim not to know how long the average wait in limbo is.
The apparent suicide of an asylum seeker on the Bibby Stockholm has drawn attention to the cost of the barge, currently estimated at £22 million. The number of boat people on board is not known, but is believed to be around 200 currently.
On the issue of potential refugees from Gaza, the request in October from various refugee organisations in the UK to the Government to come up with a scheme for taking numbers on, as was done with Ukraine, does not appear to have been acted upon as yet.
Finally, a survey by Labour List this week invited respondents to say how many arrivals had actually been removed to Rwanda. The percentage saying, correctly, none was 48%.
Andrew Hemming